The Trump administration’s decision to designate key Muslim Brotherhood chapters as terrorist organisations is not just another sanctions move. It marks a structural shift in how Washington approaches political Islam, and more importantly, how it intends to use that framework as a geopolitical tool.
Belqasim's Development and Reconstruction Fund is one of Libya’s largest state-backed development funds, but its expanding budget and opaque financial practices are damaging the economy and raising serious questions about its reliability as an international partner.
U.S. officials are discussing transferring the North Africa portfolio from Massad Boulos to Trump confidant Steve Witkoff as Washington grows frustrated with stalled diplomacy across Libya, Sudan and the Morocco-Algeria dispute, according to multiple American and regional sources.
This report covers political and security updates in Libya between March 6, 2025 - March 12, 2026. Clients can download the full report at the end of the page.
The President has walked himself into a new quagmire, but even if he finds a way to extract himself soon, the war will damage his party for the rest of his term.
This report draws on source inquiries and ongoing research conducted by our team into the Iran–Israel–U.S. conflict and its implications for global markets.
The death of Ali Khamenei was expected to shake the Islamic Republic. Instead, Iran’s wartime succession and the rise of Mojtaba Khamenei reveal a regime that remains cohesive under pressure. National mobilisation, institutional loyalty and war dynamics may reinforce rather than weaken the system.
U.S. military escalation against Iran is reshaping energy geopolitics and exposing new risks for oil and gas investors across the Middle East. From Iraq and Syria to the Eastern Mediterranean, upstream opportunities created by geopolitics may prove far less stable than they appear.
With internet shutdowns limiting reliable information, narratives range from pro-government mobilisation to quiet support for regime change, reflecting fear, anger and uncertainty across Iranian society.
Despite intensifying strikes, the Iran war may still move toward a ceasefire. Energy market pressure, Gulf diplomacy, Iranian missile capabilities, succession politics in Tehran and Washington’s strategic choices will determine whether the conflict widens or stabilises.
