The United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) is entering its most fragile chapter yet. It has no allies, little leverage, and a reputation weighed down by a decade of political misfires. Yet the opportunity to reset remains if the new Special Representative, Hanna Tetteh, acts decisively.
With growing political instability in western Libya, there is a clear sense that the status quo is shifting, triggering an intensified struggle over the country’s vast natural wealth.
State collapse in Iran may not be the most likely outcome of the current war with Israel, but U.S. involvement and attempts at regime change could lead this way, thus triggering serious regional instability.
As Libya faces rising living costs, power shortages, and political chaos, public discontent is surging. The Government of National Unity's failures and militia violence fuel anger, with protests likely to erupt this summer amid record heat and economic strain.
Libya faces looming macroeconomic shocks as the Central Bank crisis deepens, risking social unrest amid rising prices and unstable infrastructure. With political divisions stalling solutions, ordinary Libyans may soon voice their frustrations, escalating tensions and uncertainty across the nation.
The situation could deteriorate even further given that meeting the basic needs of refugees has become increasingly difficult due to a lack of funding –with serious implications for migration and security dynamics in Africa and beyond.
Despite the High National Elections Commission's (HNEC) preparations, a combination of financial hurdles, political infighting, and security concerns is casting a shadow over the electoral process.
This article examines the current situation of illegal migration in the eastern region, with particular focus on the city of Tobruk and other municipalities around it, and offers some policy recommendations on how to deal with the issue.
