Just two years ago, the Libyan National Army (LNA) was widely treated as an international pariah. Western capitals explored ways to weaken it and diplomatic engagement was limited.
Today, that picture looks increasingly outdated.
Libyaโs dinar crisis is not a dollar shortage. It is the product of fiscal expansion, subsidy distortions and a widening gap between official and parallel markets. This piece breaks down the data behind the arbitrage machine shaping Libyaโs FX trajectory.
With the possibility that Dabaiba may need treatment abroad, Libya's Government of National Unity could be forced to run on autopilot at a critical time.
Growing geopolitical competition between Egypt and the United Arab Emirates is taking shape in the Sahel, with the LNA poised to benefit due to its increasing presence in the region.
Facing growing economic, political, and security challenges, Libya is on the verge of a new status quo. What that will look like, however, remains unclear as domestic and international actors compete over the countryโs future.
Through corruption and opportunism, 111st Brigade commander Abdulsalam al-Zoubi has recently become a dominant figure in western Libya, but in the country's cyclical politics of violence, it's unclear how long heย couldย remain.
Cornered at home and unable to convene even his own cabinet, Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba flew to London in a last-ditch attempt to secure high-level meetings with UK officials.
