Expert reporting on the Israel-Iran conflict and U.S. involvement, from the June 2025 Twelve-Day War to ongoing military escalation, strategic signalling, regional spillover risks and great power implications across the Middle East.
The February 28 attack on Iran has escalated into a regional war affecting aviation, shipping and energy markets. Our latest briefings track three signals that will determine whether escalation stabilises or spirals into a global economic shock.
Strikes near Kuwait and Dubai, U.S. casualties, and threats to Gulf energy routes signal a dangerous widening of the U.S.–Israel war on Iran. From Strait of Hormuz disruption to oil price shock and regional proxy escalation, the conflict is testing worst-case scenarios.
A coordinated Arab and Gulf diplomatic push failed to stop U.S. alignment with Israel’s war on Iran. With escalation underway, scenarios now range from short, high-intensity strikes to a prolonged regional conflict. The risk of state collapse and energy market shock is no longer theoretical.
As the Epstein files take centre stage once again, the U.S. is continuing to mass forces near Iran. Is another geopolitical shock about to eclipse a domestic reckoning?
An American flotilla is nearing Iran as the country recovers from a violent state crackdown on mass protests. The U.S. task force’s goals remain unclear, driving tensions in southwest Asia.
The reimposition of United Nations sanctions as well as EU restrictive measures was expected by the Iranian leadership, notably since the 12-day-war demonstrated Western desires to confront the Islamic Republic. However, expectation doesn’t translate into preparedness.
Despite sustaining major damage in its recent conflict with Israel, Iran played its weak card well and is now seeking to reinforce deterrence and preserve regime survival.
Amid mass arrests and a sweeping search for internal enemies, Iran’s leadership is doubling down on national unity. With questions swirling around succession and the regime’s survival instincts, this piece explores how Iran is managing post-conflict uncertainty.
