🇹🇷 Turkey - The Geopolitical Desk

Beyond Bab al-Mandab: How the Horn hangs by a thread

Yemen is not the only side of the Bab al-Mandab, across the water sits the Horn of Africa, which has been dealing with its own strife for the past decade. With the Houthis advancing, more eyes look toward East Africa

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 30 Sep 2026

Beyond Bab al-Mandab: How the Horn hangs by a thread

Erdoğan's diplomacy outruns Turkey's economy, but not its region

Turkey's struggling economy tells one story, but its growing geopolitical influence tells another.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 4 Aug 2026

Erdoğan's diplomacy outruns Turkey's economy, but not its region

Too late, and beside the point: Israel's Armenian Genocide recognition

Instead of being historic, Israel's recognition of the Armenian genocide is clearly opportunistic, and has done little to increase relations with Yerevan.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 8 Jul 2026

Too late, and beside the point: Israel's Armenian Genocide recognition

A new Levant: The rise of Eastern Mediterranean gas

The Eastern Med has been an interest for investment for years, but recent geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf are directing more eyes on the region.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 13 May 2026

A new Levant: The rise of Eastern Mediterranean gas

The return of Libya’s most controversial oil trader

For months, it seemed like BGN had been pushed out of Libya. However, according to multiple industry sources, the Swiss-based crude trader is still operating through a network of aligned entities designed to reduce visibility.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 16 Apr 2026

The return of Libya’s most controversial oil trader

Integration, not independence: the Kurdish question recast

Regional political and security developments have forced a recalibration of long-held Kurdish strategies.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 26 Feb 2026

Integration, not independence: the Kurdish question recast

Turkey's evolving agenda in the Gulf

Turkish President Erdoğan’s latest economic and security outreach to the Gulf could easily benefit both sides, but Turkey's ambition and the Gulf's wariness of Ankara's influence could limit their cooperation.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 1 Nov 2025

Turkey's dilemma in Libya and the presidency of Khalifa Haftar

This article explores how Khalifa Haftar and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan may shape Libya’s next chapter.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 28 Oct 2025

Turkey's dilemma in Libya and the presidency of Khalifa Haftar

From ally to liability? Turkey corners Dabaiba in Tripoli

A recent Turkish mediated agreement between the GNU Prime Minister and Rada have cooled tensions for now, but risks still loom as Dabaiba continues to look for war.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 21 Sep 2025

From ally to liability? Turkey corners Dabaiba in Tripoli

Greece seeks eastern Libyan investment to stave off Turkey deal

Greece is likely hoping that by furthering investment in the eastern-based Reconstruction and Development Fund, led by the Haftar family, it can derail plans for the House of Representatives (HoR) to approve Turkish claims in the eastern Mediterranean.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 17 Sep 2025

Greece seeks eastern Libyan investment to stave off Turkey deal

Turkey cautions Tripoli government against fresh offensive

The chances of renewed fighting across the Libyan capital, Tripoli, appear increasingly likely as efforts to contain GNU Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba fail.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 29 Aug 2025

The new scramble for the Mediterranean

With Turkish claims in the eastern Mediterranean expected to be approved by the Libyan House of Representatives, Athens is looking for a response.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 2 Jul 2025