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The end of the House of Gaddafi?

This week, Libya came back into focus and reminded everyone why it still resists tidy narratives about stabilisation or “post-conflict” transition.

🔎 What we're monitoring this week

🇱🇾 The assassination of Saif al-Islam Gaddafi and what it reveals about Libya’s enduring instability and unresolved conflict.
🇱🇾/🇵🇰 Khalifa Haftar’s outreach to Islamabad and whether Libya’s eastern camp is testing a new strategic axis beyond its traditional backers.
🇬🇧/🇱🇾 The quiet thaw in UK–LNA relations and what it signals about Western recalibration toward power realities on the ground.
🇺🇸 Trump’s foreign policy logic, why fear not morality sets its limits, and how that worldview shapes Washington’s engagement with fragile states.
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The killing of Saif al-Islam Gaddafi is not just another violent episode in a country long accustomed to them.

It is a stark signal that 15 years after the Gaddafi regime was toppled, the country remains structurally insecure, deeply penetrated by external interests and governed by political arrangements that put violence before dialogue.

This week’s reporting pieces together what his killing means for Libya, how Haftar’s foreign outreach and Western recalibration fit into the picture, and examines a wider international environment shaped by fear rather than grand strategy.

Now let's get into it.


🇱🇾 Saif al-Islam Gaddafi’s killing and what it reveals about Libya today

What happened: The killing of Saif al-Islam Gaddafi, the former heir apparent of Libya’s late leader Muammar Gaddafi, marks a highly symbolic and potentially destabilising moment for the country. His assassination has sent a shockwave through Libyan politics that is likely to reverberate across the country’s fragile social fabric and already strained institutional order.

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