International norms continue to break down, making it increasingly difficult to determine what is true. This is having a real impact on oil markets and, in turn, the global economy.
The Iran war is escalating across the Gulf, disrupting oil flows, fracturing alliances and raising risks beyond the battlefield. This week, we look at what comes next. Also: internal fractures in Trump’s foreign policy team, and Israel’s potential annexation plans.
The war with Iran is already reshaping American politics, oil markets and the future of West Asia. This week we examine Trump’s fracturing coalition, Tehran’s succession and why energy investors are suddenly rediscovering geopolitical risk.
The Iran war is beginning to ripple across energy markets, shipping lanes and regional politics. This week’s analysis examines escalation scenarios, Iran’s strategy, succession risks in Tehran and new political signals emerging from Libya.
As the Epstein files take centre stage once again, the U.S. is continuing to mass forces near Iran. Is another geopolitical shock about to eclipse a domestic reckoning?
From Starmer’s mounting pressure in London to Libya’s structural energy trap, Bangladesh’s landmark vote, and the cultural geopolitics of the Super Bowl stage, we examine the fault lines shaping today’s global order.
This week, Libya came back into focus and reminded everyone why it still resists tidy narratives about stabilisation or “post-conflict” transition.
This week’s edition looks at US–Iran tensions drifting toward accidental escalation, Saudi Arabia’s hard stop in Yemen, and a Gulf rivalry that risks hardening into bloc politics.
At Davos, Mark Carney called time on the “pleasant fiction” of a rules-based order. This week’s edition looks at Europe’s fading influence on the world stage and Libya’s stalled energy transition.
This was one of those weeks where everything seemed to happen at once: protests in Iran, a potential leadership vacuum in Libya, the emergence of local fault lines in Syria, and a quiet regional contest taking shape.
From Washington’s unilateralism to Libya’s competing futures and the Gulf’s search for coherence, this edition examines how global norms are fraying and why 2026 is already shaping up to be a volatile year.
