Expert reporting on the Israel-Iran conflict and U.S. involvement, from the June 2025 Twelve-Day War to ongoing military escalation, strategic signalling, regional spillover risks and great power implications across the Middle East.
Trump says a deal with Iran is close. Tehran says it isn't. Gas hits $3.98. Ukraine strikes Russia's largest export terminal. And Mohammed Soliman explains why the Middle East as we knew it is already over.
The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz impacts more than just oil. The Gulf is struggling to export fertiliser and import food, creating a worsening cycle.
Decades of effort went into building the case for a U.S. war with Iran, and now it has finally arrived. But for Washington’s think tanks and policy circles, it is not what they had in mind.
As American and Israeli strikes reshape Iran’s military landscape, a parallel campaign is unfolding on screens and in exile capitals: the promise of a picture-perfect tomorrow.
The Iran war is escalating across the Gulf, disrupting oil flows, fracturing alliances and raising risks beyond the battlefield. This week, we look at what comes next. Also: internal fractures in Trump’s foreign policy team, and Israel’s potential annexation plans.
The war with Iran is already reshaping American politics, oil markets and the future of West Asia. This week we examine Trump’s fracturing coalition, Tehran’s succession and why energy investors are suddenly rediscovering geopolitical risk.
The President has walked himself into a new quagmire, but even if he finds a way to extract himself soon, the war will damage his party for the rest of his term.
The death of Ali Khamenei was expected to shake the Islamic Republic. Instead, Iran’s wartime succession and the rise of Mojtaba Khamenei reveal a regime that remains cohesive under pressure. National mobilisation, institutional loyalty and war dynamics may reinforce rather than weaken the system.
U.S. military escalation against Iran is reshaping energy geopolitics and exposing new risks for oil and gas investors across the Middle East. From Iraq and Syria to the Eastern Mediterranean, upstream opportunities created by geopolitics may prove far less stable than they appear.
With internet shutdowns limiting reliable information, narratives range from pro-government mobilisation to quiet support for regime change, reflecting fear, anger and uncertainty across Iranian society.
Despite intensifying strikes, the Iran war may still move toward a ceasefire. Energy market pressure, Gulf diplomacy, Iranian missile capabilities, succession politics in Tehran and Washington’s strategic choices will determine whether the conflict widens or stabilises.
