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DEFENSE & SECURITY

No-nonsense analysis on conflict zones, armed groups, foreign military activity, and security sector shifts across volatile theatres.

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Libya-Tunisia border crisis risks sparking wider conflict
Libya-Tunisia border crisis risks sparking wider conflict

The situation at the Ras Ajdir border crossing remains western Libya’s most dangerous fault line with serious risks of escalating.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 01, 2024
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Libya-Nicaragua: Who's behind the new migration route?
Libya-Nicaragua: Who's behind the new migration route?

After conducting site visits and interviews with officials, diplomats, airport personnel, and security actors in both western and eastern Libya, our team has uncovered exclusive details about a new migration route that could be backed by a foreign actor to create disruptions ahead of U.S. elections.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jun 11, 2024
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Are eastern Libyan authorities pursuing greater energy engagement with China and Russia?
Are eastern Libyan authorities pursuing greater energy engagement with China and Russia?

There have been a number of unconfirmed reports emerging regarding non-Western International Oil Corporations being in direct contact with Benghazi-based authorities to develop the region’s vast energy resources.

OIL & GAS   -   May 30, 2024
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Why clashes look imminent for Libya’s capital
Why clashes look imminent for Libya’s capital

A second week of efforts to reach a peaceful solution to the ongoing tensions in Tripoli has failed. Neither of Libya’s rival groups have attempted serious reconciliation efforts until now, and within the past month, have depleted most mediators capable of helping.

LIBYA DESK   -   May 06, 2024
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What's behind the recent uptick in Russian military activity in Libya?
What's behind the recent uptick in Russian military activity in Libya?

In this latest analysis piece, we delve deeper into recent Russian military activities in Libya, examining the context behind these developments. We will shed light on key events from the past few weeks and explore their potential impact on the ongoing Libyan power struggle.

LIBYA DESK   -   Apr 26, 2024
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Libya as a competing ground for Russia and the United States
Libya as a competing ground for Russia and the United States

Slowly but surely, Libya seems to be creeping closer towards becoming the next competing ground for the U.S.-Russia rivalry.

LIBYA DESK   -   Apr 19, 2024
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How the death of Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin impacts Libya’s oil and gas sector
How the death of Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin impacts Libya’s oil and gas sector

Following Wagner’s Prigozhin’s death, a cloud of uncertainty was cast on the group’s operations and future prospects in Libya. However, recent events are starting to provide a glimpse into the potential trajectory that Wagner’s influence and presence in Libya will take. In particular, the presence and

OIL & GAS   -   Oct 07, 2023
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