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Why escalation may be Iran’s only working strategy

While the U.S. and Israel have a dizzying array of strategic goals, ranging from Iran’s military weakening, change within the regime and regime change, Iran simultaneously follows two broad approaches which aim at forcing the U.S. to throw in the towel and allowing the Islamic Republic to survive.

Why escalation may be Iran’s only working strategy
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Iran’s strategy is a double-edged sword that needs careful calibrating in terms of sequencing.

Overwhelmingly relying on shock impedes the attrition effort by burning through weapons stockpile too quickly, but saving shots for a longer war projects weakness in the short-term, thus further emboldening enemies.

The table below breaks down the aspects of this strategic duality in detail.

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