Anticipation for a tripartite meeting between the heads of the Presidential Council (PC), High Council of State (HCS), and House of Representatives (HoR) is high. This meeting, set to take place in Morocco, could move Libya’s political process forward or see a derailing of talks that would plunge Libya into further uncertainty and insecurity.
This article examines the potential pathways for Libya's political future amidst ongoing instability, focusing on three distinct scenarios. Scenario 1 explores the fragile intra-Libyan political process led by the House of Representatives (HoR) and High Council of State (HCS), Scenario 2 considers the merits and challenges of holding a tripartite meeting in Morocco, and Scenario 3 discusses the challenges in achieving domestic buy-in and international consensus for a new UN-backed international process similar to the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum (LPDF).
This article was originally featured in our flagship Political Risk report, a weekly publication with insider news, local insights and deep dive analyses on Libya's political and security landscapes that is delivered to clients ahead of time.
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