U.S. and Israeli strikes are degrading Iranโs missile launchers and military infrastructure, but intelligence gaps, rising civilian casualties and uncertain missile stockpiles raise questions about how durable the campaignโs gains will be.
Strikes near Kuwait and Dubai, U.S. casualties, and threats to Gulf energy routes signal a dangerous widening of the U.S.โIsrael war on Iran. From Strait of Hormuz disruption to oil price shock and regional proxy escalation, the conflict is testing worst-case scenarios.
A coordinated Arab and Gulf diplomatic push failed to stop U.S. alignment with Israelโs war on Iran. With escalation underway, scenarios now range from short, high-intensity strikes to a prolonged regional conflict. The risk of state collapse and energy market shock is no longer theoretical.
Aleppo is not just another battlefield. It remains Syriaโs economic lung, its industrial and commercial backbone, and a core symbol of post-war state reassertion. Any disruption in Aleppo reverberates nationallyโpolitically, economically, and psychologically.
Without a common foreign policy goal, the Gulf states have engaged in trivial rivalries that have carried serious security and human costs for the region. It's time to rethink that approach.
