A recent Turkish mediated agreement between the GNU Prime Minister and Rada have cooled tensions for now, but risks still loom as Dabaiba continues to look for war.
Greece is likely hoping that by furthering investment in the eastern-based Reconstruction and Development Fund, led by the Haftar family, it can derail plans for the House of Representatives (HoR) to approve Turkish claims in the eastern Mediterranean.
The chances of renewed fighting across the Libyan capital, Tripoli, appear increasingly likely as efforts to contain GNU Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba fail.
Recent shifts in the Levant signal a transformative geopolitical landscape, marked by Bashar Assad's fall and Gulf states normalizing ties with Syria and Lebanon. As Iran retreats, regional powers must seize this moment to foster stability and collaboration, avoiding past mistakes.
Both Egypt and Turkey are determined to open a new chapter in their relations and act in cooperation on several files instead of seeing one another as rivals. This diplomatic trend opens new avenues for Libya and its accentuation throughout 2024 is likely to impact domestic politics.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s re-election is dampening hope for an overhaul of regional geopolitics, but could give way to gradual improvements in countries like Libya.
