A coordinated Arab and Gulf diplomatic push failed to stop U.S. alignment with Israel’s war on Iran. With escalation underway, scenarios now range from short, high-intensity strikes to a prolonged regional conflict. The risk of state collapse and energy market shock is no longer theoretical.
An American flotilla is nearing Iran as the country recovers from a violent state crackdown on mass protests. The U.S. task force’s goals remain unclear, driving tensions in southwest Asia.
Iran is navigating a prolonged period of structural strain in which economic fragility, energy imbalances, and deep social change increasingly intersect.
At a critical moment for Lebanon, the United States placed Tom Barrack in charge of difficult negotiations, yet he has proven to be the wrong man for the job.
Nepotism, mismanagement, and liquidity shortages increasingly hamper Iran's private banking sector, with the Islamic Republic struggling to find a way out.
