International Affairs

Analysis of global power shifts, major diplomatic developments and external actors shaping outcomes in MENA and other frontier markets.

Making sense of Iran’s latest Africa push

Tehran has now placed Africa among its top foreign policy priorities, seeking more trade flows, geopolitical alignment, and military cooperation.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 14 May 2024

Italy pursues pragmatic foreign policy in Libya

Primarily focused on the energy and migration files, Giorgia Meloni’s Italian government has pursued a pragmatic approach toward Libya, whereby any interlocutor is appreciated as long as they can satisfy Italian interests.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 26 Apr 2024

Egypt and Turkey are intent on coordinating policy in Libya

Both Egypt and Turkey are determined to open a new chapter in their relations and act in cooperation on several files instead of seeing one another as rivals. This diplomatic trend opens new avenues for Libya and its accentuation throughout 2024 is likely to impact domestic politics.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 26 Apr 2024

Libya as a competing ground for Russia and the United States

Slowly but surely, Libya seems to be creeping closer towards becoming the next competing ground for the U.S.-Russia rivalry.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 19 Apr 2024

Libya mulls oil embargo against supporters of Israel’s war on Gaza

The geopolitical ramifications of the Israeli Defence Forces’ (IDF) war on the Gaza strip following Hamas’ October 7 attack on Israel are also to be found in Libya and could

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 16 Oct 2023

Regional geopolitics and the Libyan political crisis

Erdogan’s re-election in Turkey dampens hope for an overhaul of regional interference in Libya but could give way to gradual improvements.

By The Geopolitical Desk

/ 26 May 2023