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AID & DEVELOPMENT

Contextual analysis for INGOs, donors, and UN agencies working in fragile states. We monitor governance shifts, access risks, and field dynamics affecting program delivery and risk mitigation.

Latest Articles 7 Articles
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Assessing the risks of state collapse in Iran
Assessing the risks of state collapse in Iran

State collapse in Iran may not be the most likely outcome of the current war with Israel, but U.S. involvement and attempts at regime change could lead this way, thus triggering serious regional instability.

IRAN DESK   -   Jun 24, 2025
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Costs of living, corruption and Libya's failing state
Costs of living, corruption and Libya's failing state

As Libya faces rising living costs, power shortages, and political chaos, public discontent is surging. The Government of National Unity's failures and militia violence fuel anger, with protests likely to erupt this summer amid record heat and economic strain.

LIBYA DESK   -   Apr 25, 2025
Free
Macroeconomic turmoil lays groundwork for social unrest in Libya

Libya faces looming macroeconomic shocks as the Central Bank crisis deepens, risking social unrest amid rising prices and unstable infrastructure. With political divisions stalling solutions, ordinary Libyans may soon voice their frustrations, escalating tensions and uncertainty across the nation.

LIBYA DESK   -   Sep 23, 2024
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Dual migration conferences in Libya amidst persistent challenges

For the second time in 2024, Libya hosted an international conference on migration.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 19, 2024
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Sudan's conflict fuels humanitarian crisis in Africa and beyond

The situation could deteriorate even further given that meeting the basic needs of refugees has become increasingly difficult due to a lack of funding –with serious implications for migration and security dynamics in Africa and beyond.

SUDAN DESK   -   Jul 04, 2024
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Halfway through 2024, elections remain a long-shot for Libya

Despite the High National Elections Commission's (HNEC) preparations, a combination of financial hurdles, political infighting, and security concerns is casting a shadow over the electoral process.

LIBYA DESK   -   May 23, 2024
Paid
Understanding migration dynamics in eastern Libya

This article examines the current situation of illegal migration in the eastern region, with particular focus on the city of Tobruk and other municipalities around it, and offers some policy recommendations on how to deal with the issue.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jan 27, 2023
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