This article is part of our ongoing coverage of the U.S.-Israel war on Iran.
We are tracking escalation pathways, energy market exposure, proxy mobilisation and leadership dynamics in real time.
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With a new war now underway in West Asia, it is important not to understate what has just occurred.
In the days leading up to escalation, a coordinated diplomatic and lobbying push by Oman, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey, Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan, alongside Egypt and other regional actors, sought to pull U.S. President Donald Trump back from Israelโs push for military action against Iran. That effort failed.
Once again, the collective position of U.S. regional partners has taken a back seat to Israelโs strategic priorities. The result is a new phase of direct confrontation with Iran, with consequences that extend well beyond the immediate battlefield.
Every scenario is now on the table
With war beginning, the range of possible outcomes has widened rather than narrowed.
