Ongoing Coverage: U.S.–Israel War on Iran
This article is part of our ongoing coverage of the U.S.-Israel war on Iran.
We are tracking escalation pathways, energy market exposure, proxy mobilisation and leadership dynamics in real time.
Intelligence subscribers get access to probability-weighted scenario mapping, early-warning indicators and direct expert briefings as events unfold.
The current war is not an isolated event.
It is the result of the “window of opportunity” that has opened in recent years for Israel to dismember the Islamic Republic of Iran.
This makes sustainable peace hard to envisage, at least as long as that “window of opportunity” is open.
Nonetheless, a ceasefire is still possible within the short-term as seen last June 2025, under the following circumstances:
