Facing growing economic, political, and security challenges, Libya is on the verge of a new status quo. What that will look like, however, remains unclear as domestic and international actors compete over the countryโs future.
Through corruption and opportunism, 111st Brigade commander Abdulsalam al-Zoubi has recently become a dominant figure in western Libya, but in the country's cyclical politics of violence, it's unclear how long heย couldย remain.
The United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) is entering its most fragile chapter yet. It has no allies, little leverage, and a reputation weighed down by a decade of political misfires. Yet the opportunity to reset remains if the new Special Representative, Hanna Tetteh, acts decisively.
Cornered at home and unable to convene even his own cabinet, Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba flew to London in a last-ditch attempt to secure high-level meetings with UK officials.
Libyaโs energy sector remains both the backbone of its economy and a mirror of its political fragility. The announcement of its first international oil and gas licensing round in 18 years earlier this year has been a welcome development and triggered renewed interest from IOCs and investors.
As Libya's problems worsen, Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba continues to focus on his government's image instead of ensuring that his government functions.
A recent Turkish mediated agreement between the GNU Prime Minister and Rada have cooled tensions for now, but risks still loom as Dabaiba continues to look for war.
Greece is likely hoping that by furthering investment in the eastern-based Reconstruction and Development Fund, led by the Haftar family, it can derail plans for the House of Representatives (HoR) to approve Turkish claims in the eastern Mediterranean.
