Libyaโs latest bid round has revived debate about production, reform and investment risk. But in todayโs oil market, the real constraint is no longer geology or output. It is whether Libyaโs governance and operating model can convert barrels into durable economic value.
With the possibility that Dabaiba may need treatment abroad, Libya's Government of National Unity could be forced to run on autopilot at a critical time.
Growing geopolitical competition between Egypt and the United Arab Emirates is taking shape in the Sahel, with the LNA poised to benefit due to its increasing presence in the region.
Facing growing economic, political, and security challenges, Libya is on the verge of a new status quo. What that will look like, however, remains unclear as domestic and international actors compete over the countryโs future.
Through corruption and opportunism, 111st Brigade commander Abdulsalam al-Zoubi has recently become a dominant figure in western Libya, but in the country's cyclical politics of violence, it's unclear how long heย couldย remain.
