The recognition of a Palestinian state by a slew of Western countries does little to change things on the ground, but opens up the real possibility of Israeli backlash. Here European states will need to take a stand, and buy time as possible change in the U.S. brews.
A recent Turkish mediated agreement between the GNU Prime Minister and Rada have cooled tensions for now, but risks still loom as Dabaiba continues to look for war.
American power and security guarantees helped build the modern Gulf, but shifting trends both globally and regionally are forcing gulf leaders into difficult decisions
This report covers political and security updates in Libya for the week of September 12 - September 18, 2025. Clients can download the full report at the end of the summary.
Greece is likely hoping that by furthering investment in the eastern-based Reconstruction and Development Fund, led by the Haftar family, it can derail plans for the House of Representatives (HoR) to approve Turkish claims in the eastern Mediterranean.
This report covers political and security updates in Libya for the week of September 5 - September 11, 2025. Clients can download the full report at the end of the summary.
In rare talks between the Haftars, the Dabaibas, and U.S. envoy Massad Boulous in Rome, discussions touched on Tripoli’s fragile stability and Libya’s oil sector, hinting at a potential shift that could redefine power dynamics in Libya.
Bangladesh’s democratic transition remains fragile. The interim government struggles to deliver reforms and prepare the country’s first credible election in 16 years, with risks ranging from orderly democratic renewal to violent breakdown.
This report covers political and security updates in Libya for the week of August 29 - September 4, 2025. Clients can download the full report at the end of the summary.
With growing political instability in western Libya, there is a clear sense that the status quo is shifting, triggering an intensified struggle over the country’s vast natural wealth.