LIBYA DESK
This article is free to read and is part of our commitment to delivering ahead-of-the-curve insights.
Subscribers on our Intelligence+ and Enterprise plans access confidential reporting like this on a regular basis, as well as business intelligence, geopolitical forecasts and strategic insights not available elsewhere.
If you’d like deeper insight on this topic, consider subscribing to one of our paid plans today. Your subscription directly supports independent research in the world’s most complex regions.
We are currently running early bird pricing for new subscribers. Click the button below to get 60% off the first 3 months of your Intelligence+ subscription.
Turkey, along with other international actors, has sought to pressure the Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba to refrain from resuming an offensive against the Special Deterrence Forces, also known as Rada.
Despite Turkey going through multiple diplomatic and security channels, Dabaiba has appeared to ignore these efforts as he continues to publicly call for the dismantling of Rada.
Since May, Tripoli has been on edge after a hasty ceasefire was created between the Dabaiba-aligned 444th Brigade and Rada.
Dabaiba had attempted to remove his rivals from the capital in order to consolidate his position, but after successfully defeating the Stability Support Apparatus, he failed to make gains against Rada.
This was in part due to Turkey, which shut down Dabaiba’s access to Turkish-made Bayraktar drones mid-flight, leading to their destruction.
Turkey has deep connections with both Dabaiba and Rada and did not want to damage its assets and soldiers stationed at Mitiga Airport, which was a focus of Dabaiba’s offensive.
Turkey has since put pressure on the Dabaiba government to not resume the offensive. It first tried to hold negotiations between Dabaiba and Rada, but these failed when Dabaiba refused to give up his maximalist position.
With talks failing in late May, the head of Turkish intelligence, İbrahim Kalın, flew directly to Tripoli on June 2nd and warned Dabaiba against resuming his offensive.
Confidential
This article is free to read with a newsletter subscription.
Join diplomats, executives, and analysts who rely on our reporting to stay ahead in the world's most complex regions. Sign up now to access the full article and receive strategic updates direct to your inbox.
Already a member? Sign in