NORTH AFRICA DESK

August has seen escalating crises in Libya, with a fuel blockade crippling oil production and political tensions rising amidst contested elections. The National Oil Corporation faces pressure as competing factions threaten stability, while UN efforts to mediate remain untested and uncertain.

Libya faces a precarious future after a Central Bank takeover and an oil blockade, igniting fears of potential conflict and further economic collapse. With key stakeholders divided, this article examines what happened and what's next for Libya.

The recent Cairo meeting between Libya's HoR and HCS has sparked renewed hope for a unified government, gaining support from various stakeholders. As Misrata pushes for political reconciliation, the UN emphasizes an inclusive electoral process, while distrust remains towards the current leadership.

Despite a minor blowout in July, Libya's NOC is steadily increasing oil production, reaching 1,276,344 barrels per day. With projections of 1.5 million barrels daily by mid-2025, the focus remains on reviving old wells and exploring new opportunities in resource-rich regions.

A U.S. delegation, led by AFRICOM leaders, engaged with key Libyan figures to enhance counterterrorism and military collaboration, aiming to counter Russian influence. As Libya's political landscape shifts, the U.S. seeks strategic partnerships to address complex security challenges.

For the second time in 2024, Libya hosted an international conference on migration.

The National Oil Corporation (NOC) says a new pipeline from the North Hamada oil field will help it meet short-term development targets, as it continues working towards the ambitious goal of bringing Libyan crude production to 1.5 million bpd by 2025 and 2 million bpd by 2027.

In spite of turbulent political times for Libya and its energy sector, there are positive developments regarding the signing of new contracts and the continuation of small-scale works to gradually increase the country’s oil output.