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IRAN DESK

In-depth analysis of Iran’s domestic politics, regional dynamics, sanctions posture and foreign policy objectives.

Latest Articles 16 Articles
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Scenarios shaping the future of the Israel-Iran conflict
Scenarios shaping the future of the Israel-Iran conflict

Neither Israel nor the U.S. strategic objectives are set in stone and will continue to oscillate between neutering what they perceive as Iranian threats or pursuing regime change. This creates a highly volatile environment.

Jun 17, 2025
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Israel’s strike on Iran and what comes next
Israel’s strike on Iran and what comes next

Israel’s latest strike on Iran marks a sharp escalation, killing key military commanders and damaging strategic assets. Iran’s response is unfolding in stages, aiming to restore deterrence without triggering full-scale war. This article considers the strategic implications and regional risks ahead.

Jun 13, 2025
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Beyond binary scenarios for Iran-U.S. relations
Beyond binary scenarios for Iran-U.S. relations

Trump's "deal or kneel" rhetoric frames Iran's future as a stark choice: compliance or chaos. Yet, all signs point to protracted negotiations and tactical maneuvers rather than swift resolutions or outright war.

IRAN DESK   -   May 13, 2025
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A quiet realignment in the Middle East
A quiet realignment in the Middle East

A quiet realignment in the Middle East sees Tehran, Arab states, and Washington converge on de-escalation amid shared interests. As Iran's threat perception shifts, Arab diplomacy grows crucial, while the Trump administration's pragmatic approach offers a path for regional stability and cooperation.

MIDDLE EAST DESK   -   May 13, 2025
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Iran Political Risk Report (May 9)
Iran Political Risk Report (May 9)

This report analyzes Iran’s evolving diplomatic strategy amid renewed nuclear negotiations with the U.S. The brief explores Tehran’s cautious outreach to the Trump administration, efforts to secure limited sanctions relief, and a strategic pivot toward a multipolar global order.

REPORTS   -   May 09, 2025
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Tehran’s endgame in nuclear talks with Washington
Tehran’s endgame in nuclear talks with Washington

Tehran's cautious diplomacy signals a shift in U.S.-Iran relations, as President Pezeshkian seeks economic relief while avoiding past pitfalls.

IRAN DESK   -   Apr 25, 2025
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India braves US sanctions in latest investment in Iran
India braves US sanctions in latest investment in Iran

India is looking at Iran for the long-term and wants to hedge its bets - even if the benefits are uncertain.

IRAN DESK   -   May 22, 2024
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Making sense of Iran’s latest Africa push
Making sense of Iran’s latest Africa push

Tehran has now placed Africa among its top foreign policy priorities, seeking more trade flows, geopolitical alignment, and military cooperation.

IRAN DESK   -   May 14, 2024
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