Libya Political Risk Report (September 26)

Big Picture Outlook

With the crisis in Tripoli frozen for now, Libya’s rival factions prepare for negotiations, while the security situation in western Libya continues to degrade. The House of Representatives (HoR) and the High Council of State (HCS) are slowly moving toward renewed negotiations in accordance with the United Nations new political roadmap. The High National Election Commission (HNEC) has begun planning for a third round of elections while waiting for reforms. The Central Bank of Libya (CBL) puts pressure on commercial banks to follow its initiatives. Zawiya sees renewed fighting between local rival factions.

Key Highlights

• Minister of Local Governance for the Government of National Unity (GNU), Abdul Shafie Al-Juwayfi, announced he was suspending Zintani Mayor Tahir Abu Janah from work and referred him for investigation.
• GNU Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba met with “elders and notables” from Zintan to discuss the recent tensions regarding the removal of Mayor Tahir Abu Janah.
• The Presidency of the HoR appointed a group of representatives to communicate with a HCS committee about the appointment of members to the HNEC. The HoR group will consist of Adnan Al-Shaab, Badr Suleiman, and Al-Mahdi Al-Awar.
• The Central Bank of Libya (CBL) announced there would be no possibility of an extension for the 30th September deadline for the withdrawal of certain dinar denominations.
• CBL Governor Naji Issa suspended the General Manager of al-Aman Bank, Ahmed Al-Doukali Omar, and referred him for investigation, claiming one of the bank’s branches recirculated withdrawn currency denominations
• Clashes erupted in Zawiya between the al-Kabowat group and the Security Threats Agency around the Zawiya Oil Refinery, leading to the death of an oil facilities guard.

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