Libya Political Risk Report (September 19)

Big Picture Outlook

Turkey was able to mediate a deal between Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba and the Special Deterrence forces, aka Rada, halting the resumption of fighting in the short term. Implementation of the deal has remained inconsistent, threatening its potential collapse. Presidential Council Chairman Mohammed al-Mnefi took part in the Arab-Islamic Summit of Nations in Doha. The Haftar family begins to solidify its new family dynamics.

Key Highlights

• The GNU and Rada agreed to a Turkish brokered deal, that will see Rada relinquish control of the civilian terminal at Mitiga Airport, in exchange for retaining the Mitiga military base and for the GNU to hand over control of Tripoli International, Zawiya, and Misrata airports to a neutral group.
• The “Airport Security Battalion” led by Ramzi Al-Qamoudi, announced that its forces had entered Mitiga’s civilian terminal.
• The Presidential Council, in accordance with the Rada-Dabaiba agreement, appointed Major General Atiyah al-Fakhri as the new commander of the Judicial Police.  However, GNU Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba announced he would appoint Abdelfattah Dabboub as the new commander of the Judicial Police.
• Presidential Council Chairman Mohammed al-Mnefi attended the Arab-Islamic Nations Summit in Doha, where he gave a statement pledging support to Qatar.
• Head of GNU Military Intelligence and the commander of the 444th Brigade, Mahmoud Hamza, met with Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense of Qatar, Saud bin Abdulrahman al-Thani.
• Libyan National Army (LNA) Chief-of-Staff Khaled Haftar traveled to Egypt and met with Egyptian Chief-of-Staff Lieutenant General Ahmed Fathi Khalifa, where the two reportedly discussed matters of “joint cooperation”.

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