Israel’s pre-dawn strikes on Iranian territory today have pushed the shadow war between the two powers into an unprecedented and far more dangerous phase. According to GPD sources and initial assessments, this was not a symbolic show of force.

The strikes targeted both the quality and quantity of Iran’s ability to respond, inflicting meaningful strategic damage and entering the final chapter of Israel’s war on the “Resistance movement” by clipping the wings of the Islamic Republic for the long-term.

A closer look

Among the most consequential developments, key Iranian generals involved in the coordination of the armed forces—spanning both the Artesh (regular army) and the IRGC—were killed when gathered underground for briefings. While contingency plans for retaliation have long been in place, their loss will almost certainly degrade the coherence and speed of Iran’s military response.

Equally critical is the geographic scope of the attacks, which focused on Iran’s western military zones; areas from which Iran typically stages its missile and drone strikes on Israel. Several strategic weapons depots have been compromised, diminishing Iran’s short-term arsenal and further complicating immediate retaliation plans.

Confidential

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