Is Sadiq al-Kabir about to lose his seat as CBL Governor?

The main showdown taking place there opposes Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba and Governor of the Central Bank of Libya (CBL) Sadiq al-Kabir, who have both been pushed to the edge in this existential battle. Yet, it seems that after months of political fighting, it is al-Kabir that is being cornered and may find himself unseated if he does not make serious concessions and manoeuvres.

Neither Dabaiba nor his opposition have the political or military ability to completely defeat one another. Instead, the two sides are almost at a perfect stalemate. On the one hand, Dabaiba’s enemies continue to fail in unifying their efforts and agreeing on a replacement for the GNU Prime Minister. As a result, they have not proposed a unified vision to secure enough national and international buy-in. On the other hand, Dabaiba also finds himself strapped for cash and is fighting on a daily basis to keep his position.

On the military side, the main divide in Tripoli opposes the Special Deterrence Forces (SDF, or Rada) led by Abdulraouf Kara and Abdelghani al-Kikli’s Stability Support Apparatus (SSA), with the former aligned with al-Kabir and the latter with Dabaiba. This week, there were efforts to defuse the tension between the two powerhouses once and for all so that the spectre of war in Tripoli can finally be lifted. Sources well-informed on the matter told LIBYA DESK that these efforts have failed and have been abandoned.